Hi Sam! Those are smart thoughts.
I think that you may be right about parking and congestion and vehicle ownership. It’s hard to say for sure from this far out, but those all look like areas that might change a lot with the advent of self-driving cars.
And you might even be right about the rate of adoption of self-driving cars, although that will depend a lot on when autonomous vehicles are available at economical price points, and what their geographic restrictions are.
My post here was focused specifically on the question of whether and when governments might actually prohibit human drivers, and I think that’s a somewhat longer time frame.
Even if lots of people are riding self-driving cars, I think there will be a lot of resistance to the government actually banning anyone from driving human-style.
After all, horses and buggies and bikes are all still allowed out on the road!